A normalized, round-level archive for trading firms, analytics platforms, and data teams. Build backtests, models, and internal data services from documented Arrow files containing probabilities, visible depth, timing, outcomes, and quality evidence.
A probability chart tells you what a market displayed. A timestamped market-state archive lets you ask whether the price was fresh, whether size was actually available, and whether an apparent edge survives spread, depth and missing data.
Assumes the displayed probability was an executable price.
Tests the signal against the market that could actually be traded.
Synthetic illustration · not a trading result, profit claim or archived market record
A signal can look profitable only because a backtest assumes unlimited size at a displayed price.
Explore whether spread, depth, imbalance, timing and data quality improve calibration or signal selection.
Separate model failure from stale observations, thin liquidity, missing evidence and execution constraints.
Core is a compact, analysis-ready subset. Full Depth preserves the maximum permitted market-state detail. Every annual option includes the approved back catalogue plus 12 months of releases.
Begin with BTC only — compact analytical schema or the complete permitted BTC structure.
Get BTC accessBTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, BNB, DOGE and HYPE, with documented asset-specific coverage dates.
Get 7-asset accessOne documented city or reference-station collection with its daily high and low markets.
Get 1-location accessUp to three documented locations, daily high and low markets organized consistently.
Get 3-location accessAll supported crypto assets plus weather — every approved location on Full Depth.
Get Complete accessProposed individual pricing · availability subject to written rights, eligibility and final terms
Core is a defined subset — not an undocumented reduction. Full Depth adds the detailed observations and nested market structure needed for higher-fidelity replay and execution-aware simulation.
* General category comparison based on standard market-data products reviewed in August 2026. “Not standard” means the capability is not ordinarily presented as a default product feature—not that no vendor or custom plan can provide it. Coverage still depends on the selected OutcomeDepth package.
Coverage is not uniform: crypto and weather have different market structures, capture histories and constraints. Those differences are documented per collection, date and field — never flattened into one completeness number.
Weekly file availability, % of five-minute slots. * Final bar is a partial two-day window. File availability does not imply uniform tick density inside every file.
Daily highest- and lowest-temperature markets with forecast context, station evidence and settlement notes. Capture since 10 Aug 2026.
Illustrative distribution · not an archived record
Why the qualifiers matter. A timestamp in the inventory does not guarantee a complete event tape, full-depth book, or an independently observed value for every second. Coverage is published by collection, date, field, source type and observation quality before access is offered.
Two synthetic Arrow files show the Full Depth structure — entirely fabricated identifiers, prices and outcomes. Load them in Python, Rust, SQL or any Arrow-compatible stack; no proprietary viewer.
Synthetic format samples only · not a free data tier · not suitable for prediction, backtesting or trading
Captured values, resampled values, derived features and final outcomes are kept separate. The goal is not to make every row look complete — it is to make the evidence behind each row clear.
Timestamped snapshots and event messages actually received.
Consistent field names, market sides and time alignment.
Resampled or forward-filled rows, explicitly identified.
Resolution status and settlement evidence attached later.
Early-access enquiry · no payment requested · availability subject to rights and review
OutcomeDepth
Independent data archive. Not affiliated with or endorsed by Polymarket or any exchange, oracle, weather service or data provider. Historical data · no advice · no performance claims.
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